LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
56-36 | Road
1
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
51-40 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Alex Vesia
#51 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Megill
#29 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Vesia | None-None | 2.68 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Trevor Megill | None-None | 2.48 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.68
ERA
Ldr 2.48
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
55%
BREWERS
45%
DODGERS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
LAD By 1-2 runs
17.2%
LAD By 3-4 runs
11.7%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.3%
MIL By 3-4 runs
15.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5.46
LOS ANGELES
Milwaukee
6.1
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Win
45% Win Prob
D
Sim
Brewers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Brewers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.6
B
Sim
Brewers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 16, 2026
MIL @ LAD
6 - 2
Aug 15, 2026
MIL @ LAD
4 - 1
Aug 14, 2026
MIL @ LAD
1 - 3
Aug 13, 2026
MIL @ LAD
5 - 4
May 24, 2026
LAD @ MIL
5 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.94
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.257
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.338
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.762
▲
OPS
.743
204
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+47.0% more
Milwaukee: 1.2
vs
Los Angeles: 0.7
Total Bases (L5)
+25.4% more
Milwaukee: 13.7
vs
Los Angeles: 10.9
Strikeouts (L5)
+24.6% more
Milwaukee: 9.9
vs
Los Angeles: 7.9
Hits (L5)
+14.7% more
Milwaukee: 8.4
vs
Los Angeles: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
5.5
1
MIL Score
6.1
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 1.0
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.4 / 7.3
8.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 0.7
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.9 / 7.9
15.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
13.7 / 10.9
11.0 / 8.0
Walks
1.4 / 3.5
1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
LAD
MIL
LAD
ML
62%
101-61
56%
92-73
52%
84-78
48%
79-87
ATS
58%
94-68
59%
98-67
48%
78-84
43%
72-94
TTL
40%
62-92-8
48%
77-82-6
50%
77-77-8
44%
70-90-6
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