TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
44-46 | Road
5
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
43-46 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob deGrom
#48 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Sam Bachman
#40 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | None-None | 2.29 | -- | 5.0 | 5 |
| Sam Bachman | None-None | 2.79 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.29 Ldr
ERA
2.79
--
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
5 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
51%
ANGELS
49%
RANGERS
--
ANGELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.4
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.4 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.2%
TEX By 3-4 runs
19.1%
LAA By 1-2 runs
12.3%
LAA By 3-4 runs
6.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
5.67
TEXAS
Los Angeles
3.24
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Texas
4
TEXAS
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Loss
51% Win Prob
D
Sim
Angels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.4
D
Sim
Angels (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
LAA @ TEX
3 - 5
Aug 22, 2026
LAA @ TEX
3 - 0
Aug 21, 2026
LAA @ TEX
1 - 2
Aug 13, 2026
TEX @ LAA
0 - 7
Aug 12, 2026
TEX @ LAA
2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.15
▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.242
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.396
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.713
▲
OPS
.679
183
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+27.3% more
Texas: 4.0
vs
Los Angeles: 2.9
Home Runs (Season)
+15.8% more
Texas: 183.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
OPS (Season)
+3.4%
Texas: 71.3%
vs
Los Angeles: 67.9%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+2.7%
Texas: 39.6%
vs
Los Angeles: 36.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
5.7
5
LAA Score
3.2
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.4
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.0 / 8.2
10.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 0.9
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.4 / 8.0
8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
11.5 / 12.2
17.0 / 12.0
Walks
2.9 / 4.0
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
TEX
LAA
TEX
ML
59%
96-66
53%
86-76
55%
89-73
57%
91-70
ATS
60%
97-65
57%
92-70
51%
82-80
61%
98-63
TTL
53%
83-74-5
53%
78-70-14
52%
82-75-5
55%
81-66-14
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