MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
49-39 | Road
2
MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
39-47 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Chad Patrick
#39 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Calvin Faucher
#53 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Patrick | None-None | 3.52 | -- | 5.0 | 2 |
| Calvin Faucher | None-None | 4.05 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.52 Ldr
ERA
4.05
--
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
60%
MARLINS
40%
BREWERS
--
MARLINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
18.5%
MIL By 3-4 runs
13.7%
MIA By 1-2 runs
18.3%
MIA By 3-4 runs
13.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
5.67
MILWAUKEE
Miami
5.61
MIAMI
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Miami
5
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Loss
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
Marlins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.1
A
Sim
Marlins (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.3
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 19, 2026
MIA @ MIL
1 - 3
Jul 18, 2026
MIA @ MIL
6 - 8
Jul 17, 2026
MIA @ MIL
1 - 2
Apr 19, 2026
MIL @ MIA
3 - 5
Apr 18, 2026
MIL @ MIA
5 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Miami
MIA
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.41
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.249
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.326
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.743
▲
OPS
.727
154
Home Runs
▲
168
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+63.0% more
Milwaukee: 0.9
vs
Miami: 0.3
Runs per Game (Season)
+14.2% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Miami: 4.4
Walks (L5)
+9.9% more
Milwaukee: 2.1
vs
Miami: 1.9
OPS (Season)
+1.6%
Milwaukee: 74.3%
vs
Miami: 72.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
5.7
2
MIA Score
5.6
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.3 / 8.2
8.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 1.1
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.4 / 9.5
12.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
14.0 / 13.0
13.0 / 13.0
Walks
1.9 / 2.1
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
MIA
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
MIA
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
MIL
MIA
MIL
ML
48%
78-84
62%
101-61
55%
88-72
52%
84-78
ATS
56%
91-71
58%
94-68
54%
86-74
48%
78-84
TTL
56%
88-69-5
40%
62-92-8
53%
82-73-5
50%
77-77-8
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