CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
29-59 | Road
10
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
20-68 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Colson Montgomery
#12 | Shortstop@
STARTING PITCHER
Jimmy Herget
#44 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colson Montgomery | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Jimmy Herget | None-None | 3.20 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
3.20
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
63%
ROCKIES
37%
WHITE SOX
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
84%
Under 0
16%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
CHW By 1-2 runs
18.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
13.8%
COL By 1-2 runs
18.3%
COL By 3-4 runs
13.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3.28
CHICAGO
Colorado
3.19
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
White Sox
Win
63% Win Prob
C
Sim
Rockies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
White Sox (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.1
B
Sim
Rockies (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
A
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
COL @ CHW
2 - 4
Sep 26, 2026
COL @ CHW
9 - 6
Sep 25, 2026
COL @ CHW
1 - 6
Jul 6, 2025
CHW @ COL
4 - 6
Jul 5, 2025
CHW @ COL
10 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Colorado
COL
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.254
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.412
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.417
.826
▲
OPS
.739
1
Home Runs
▲
180
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+22.7% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Colorado: 4.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+19.7% more
Chicago: 7.7
vs
Colorado: 6.2
Home Runs (L5)
+15.0% more
Chicago: 0.8
vs
Colorado: 0.7
On-Base Pct (Season)
+9.3%
Chicago: 41.5%
vs
Colorado: 32.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
3.3
10
COL Score
3.2
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.7 / 6.8
11.0 / 15.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 0.8
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
6.2 / 7.7
5.0 / 3.0
Total Bases
12.5 / 11.0
19.0 / 27.0
Walks
3.4 / 2.9
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-80-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6%
Total +/-: +1.0
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
CHW
COL
CHW
ML
60%
97-64
48%
81-87
55%
88-73
56%
94-74
ATS
60%
97-64
59%
99-69
52%
83-78
55%
93-75
TTL
60%
93-62-6
58%
97-69-2
50%
77-78-6
51%
85-81-2
Contextual Game News
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Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox