HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
52-35 | Road
18
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
56-32 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Taylor Trammell
#26 | Left Field@
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Dreyer
#86 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Trammell | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Jack Dreyer | None-None | 3.25 | -- | 1.2 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
3.25
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.2
--
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
ASTROS
46%
DODGERS
54%
ASTROS
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
47%
Under 0
53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
HOU By 1-2 runs
17.8%
HOU By 3-4 runs
12.5%
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.0%
LAD By 3-4 runs
14.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
5.24
HOUSTON
Los Angeles
5.59
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Houston
3
HOUSTON
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Loss
54% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.3
C
Sim
Dodgers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 6, 2026
LAD @ HOU
12 - 2
May 5, 2026
LAD @ HOU
1 - 2
May 4, 2026
LAD @ HOU
8 - 3
Jul 6, 2025
HOU @ LAD
5 - 1
Jul 5, 2025
HOU @ LAD
6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Houston
HOU
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
2
Games Played
▲
162
3.00
Runs / Game
▲
4.94
.169
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.354
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.582
OPS
▲
.762
4
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+5000.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Home Runs (L5)
+99.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.8
vs
Houston: 0.8
Runs per Game (Season)
+64.7% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
Houston: 3.0
Errors (L5)
+45.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.5
vs
Houston: 0.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
5.2
18
LAD Score
5.6
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.0
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.7 / 11.6
6.0 / 20.0
Home Runs
1.8 / 0.8
1.0 / 5.0
Strikeouts
10.1 / 7.7
8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
14.4 / 16.8
9.0 / 41.0
Walks
2.2 / 1.5
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
HOU
LAD
HOU
ML
56%
92-73
50%
81-82
48%
79-87
47%
77-87
ATS
59%
98-67
56%
91-72
43%
72-94
55%
90-74
TTL
48%
77-82-6
45%
70-84-9
44%
70-90-6
45%
69-86-9
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