MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
41-45 | Road
1
MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
38-46 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kody Funderburk
#57 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Calvin Faucher
#53 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kody Funderburk | None-None | 6.92 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Calvin Faucher | None-None | 4.18 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.92
ERA
Ldr 4.18
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
52%
MARLINS
48%
TWINS
--
MARLINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
53%
Under 0
47%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-2 runs
18.5%
MIN By 3-4 runs
13.7%
MIA By 1-2 runs
18.3%
MIA By 3-4 runs
13.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
4.36
MINNESOTA
Miami
4.31
MIAMI
Simulated Score
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Miami
3
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Twins
Loss
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Twins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Twins (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.1
A
Sim
Twins (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 14, 2026
MIA @ MIN
1 - 9
May 13, 2026
MIA @ MIN
9 - 5
May 12, 2026
MIA @ MIN
0 - 3
Jul 3, 2025
MIN @ MIA
1 - 4
Jul 2, 2025
MIN @ MIA
2 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Miami
MIA
162
Games Played
162
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.41
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.249
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.326
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.720
OPS
▲
.727
187
▲
Home Runs
168
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+29.4% more
Minnesota: 2.2
vs
Miami: 1.5
Home Runs (Season)
+10.2% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
Miami: 168.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+3.3% more
Minnesota: 4.6
vs
Miami: 4.4
Slugging Pct (Season)
+0.3%
Minnesota: 40.3%
vs
Miami: 40.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
4.4
1
MIA Score
4.3
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.7 / 5.7
8.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 0.5
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.7 / 6.3
10.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
13.9 / 8.3
11.0 / 9.0
Walks
1.5 / 2.2
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
MIA
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
MIA
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
MIN
MIA
MIN
ML
48%
78-84
52%
84-78
55%
88-72
50%
80-81
ATS
56%
91-71
59%
95-67
54%
86-74
59%
95-66
TTL
56%
88-69-5
51%
78-75-9
53%
82-73-5
53%
80-72-9
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