MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
48-38 | Road
2
NEW YORK
METSNYM
49-38 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Abner Uribe
#45 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Brett Baty
#7 | Third Base| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abner Uribe | None-None | 2.20 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Brett Baty | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.20
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
2
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
49%
METS
51%
BREWERS
--
METS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
74%
Under 0
26%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYM -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYM)
MIL By 1-2 runs
16.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
11.1%
NYM By 1-2 runs
19.5%
NYM By 3-4 runs
15.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
4.22
MILWAUKEE
New York
5.07
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mets
Win
51% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mets (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.9
B
Sim
Mets (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.3
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 27, 2026
MIL @ NYM
8 - 2
Aug 26, 2026
MIL @ NYM
8 - 1
Aug 25, 2026
MIL @ NYM
2 - 3
Jul 22, 2026
NYM @ MIL
3 - 4
Jul 21, 2026
NYM @ MIL
4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
New York
NYM
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.395
.743
▲
OPS
.705
154
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+138.6% more
New York: 4.8
vs
Milwaukee: 2.0
Home Runs (Season)
+32.5% more
New York: 204.0
vs
Milwaukee: 154.0
Home Runs (L5)
+70.8% more
Milwaukee: 1.9
vs
New York: 0.6
Total Bases (L5)
+46.1% more
Milwaukee: 16.7
vs
New York: 9.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
4.2
2
NYM Score
5.1
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.0 / 9.4
8.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.9
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.6 / 10.6
9.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
9.0 / 16.7
12.0 / 10.0
Walks
4.8 / 2.0
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
NYM
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYM
MIL
NYM
MIL
ML
50%
79-80
62%
101-61
48%
76-83
52%
84-78
ATS
58%
93-66
58%
94-68
49%
78-81
48%
78-84
TTL
55%
80-66-13
40%
62-92-8
51%
74-72-13
50%
77-77-8
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