LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
42-43 | Road
5
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
39-46 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Sam Bachman
#40 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Raisel Iglesias
#26 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bachman | None-None | 2.00 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Raisel Iglesias | None-None | 5.12 | -- | 1.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.00 Ldr
ERA
5.12
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
54%
BRAVES
46%
ANGELS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATL -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
LAA By 1-2 runs
15.9%
LAA By 3-4 runs
10.2%
ATL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
ATL By 3-4 runs
16.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3.78
LOS ANGELES
Atlanta
4.94
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Atlanta
5
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Loss
46% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.2
B
Sim
Braves (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 8, 2026
ATL @ LAA
8 - 2
Apr 7, 2026
ATL @ LAA
7 - 2
Apr 6, 2026
ATL @ LAA
2 - 6
Jul 3, 2025
LAA @ ATL
5 - 1
Jul 2, 2025
LAA @ ATL
3 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
5.00
.234
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.324
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.679
OPS
▲
.757
154
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+23.8% more
Atlanta: 5.0
vs
Los Angeles: 4.0
Home Runs (L5)
+19.3% more
Atlanta: 1.3
vs
Los Angeles: 1.1
Hits (L5)
+11.5% more
Atlanta: 9.1
vs
Los Angeles: 8.2
Total Bases (L5)
+9.0% more
Atlanta: 14.6
vs
Los Angeles: 13.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
3.8
5
ATL Score
4.9
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.1 / 8.2
5.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 1.1
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
10.2 / 9.5
12.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
14.6 / 13.4
8.0 / 20.0
Walks
3.9 / 3.9
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
LAA
ATL
LAA
ML
46%
77-90
59%
96-66
54%
90-78
55%
89-73
ATS
57%
96-71
60%
97-65
52%
87-81
51%
82-80
TTL
53%
83-73-11
53%
83-74-5
49%
76-80-11
52%
82-75-5
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