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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

28-58  |  Road

2
FINAL
Thu, Jul 3 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

55-32  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Miguel Vargas
STARTING PITCHER

Miguel Vargas

#20 | Third Base
@
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Miguel Vargas None-None -- -- -- --
Tanner Scott None-None 3.38 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.38
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
22%
📊
DODGERS
78%
WHITE SOX --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 63%
Under 0 38%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.4 points (Los Angeles)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

27.7%

Dodgers Cover

72.3%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

CHW By 1-2 runs

12.5%

CHW By 3-4 runs

6.9%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.3%

LAD By 3-4 runs

19.0%

AI Model Projected Score
3.18
CHICAGO
5.55
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
6
CHICAGO
3
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Win
78% Win Prob
B
Sim White Sox Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.4
D
Sim White Sox (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.7
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 LAD @ CHW 4 - 6
Jun 13, 2026 LAD @ CHW 7 - 1
Jun 12, 2026 LAD @ CHW 2 - 8
Jul 3, 2025 CHW @ LAD 2 - 6
Jul 2, 2025 CHW @ LAD 4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Los Angeles LAD
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.94
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.257
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.338
.412
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.826 ▲
OPS
.762
1
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +20300.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5) +103.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.6 vs Chicago: 0.6
Total Bases (L5) +23.7% more
Los Angeles: 14.1 vs Chicago: 11.4
Errors (L5) +11.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.2 vs Chicago: 0.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 3.2 2
LAD Score 5.6 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.1 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.1 / 7.4 7.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 1.6 / 0.6 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.7 / 8.3 13.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 14.1 / 11.4 15.0 / 7.0
Walks 2.3 / 4.1 2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
5%MONEY95%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
CHW
LAD
CHW
ML
56% 92-73
49% 81-86
48% 79-87
56% 94-73
ATS
59% 98-67
59% 99-68
43% 72-94
56% 93-74
TTL
48% 77-82-6
58% 96-69-2
44% 70-90-6
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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