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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

42-42  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, Jul 2 • 7:15 PM ET
Truist Park
View Odds Details →

ATLANTA

BRAVESATL

38-46  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
Travis d'Arnaud
STARTING PITCHER

Travis d'Arnaud

#25 | Catcher
@
Dylan Dodd
STARTING PITCHER

Dylan Dodd

#46 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Travis d'Arnaud None-None -- -- -- --
Dylan Dodd None-None 2.89 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 2.89
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
55%
📊
BRAVES
45%
ANGELS --
BRAVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Atlanta)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 BravesATL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

36.4%

Braves Cover

63.6%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATL -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)

LAA By 1-2 runs

15.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

9.5%

ATL By 1-2 runs

19.7%

ATL By 3-4 runs

17.2%

AI Model Projected Score
3.71
LOS ANGELES
5.1
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Braves Win
45% Win Prob
D
Sim Braves Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Braves (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.4
B
Sim Braves (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.8
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 8, 2026 ATL @ LAA 8 - 2
Apr 7, 2026 ATL @ LAA 7 - 2
Apr 6, 2026 ATL @ LAA 2 - 6
Jul 3, 2025 LAA @ ATL 5 - 1
Jul 2, 2025 LAA @ ATL 3 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Atlanta ATL
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 5.00
.234 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .324
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .433
.679
OPS
▲ .757
154 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season) +23.8% more
Atlanta: 5.0 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Errors (L5) +12.0% more
Atlanta: 0.5 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
Walks (L5) +11.1% more
Atlanta: 4.3 vs Los Angeles: 3.9
OPS (Season) +7.8%
Atlanta: 75.7% vs Los Angeles: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 3.7 3
ATL Score 5.1 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.7 / 8.8 12.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 0.5 / 1.1 3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.3 / 9.2 12.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 10.9 / 15.1 22.0 / 10.0
Walks 4.3 / 3.9 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
45%MONEY55%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
ATL Advantage
97-72-0 (57.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
ATL Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
LAA
ATL
LAA
ML
46% 77-90
59% 96-66
54% 90-78
55% 89-73
ATS
57% 96-71
60% 97-65
52% 87-81
51% 82-80
TTL
53% 83-73-11
53% 83-74-5
49% 76-80-11
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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