LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
41-42 | Road
4
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
38-45 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Dylan Lee
#52 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | None-None | 4.10 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Dylan Lee | None-None | 2.37 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.10
ERA
Ldr 2.37
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
54%
BRAVES
46%
ANGELS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATL -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
LAA By 1-2 runs
11.5%
LAA By 3-4 runs
6.1%
ATL By 1-2 runs
18.9%
ATL By 3-4 runs
19.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
2.99
LOS ANGELES
Atlanta
5.7
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Atlanta
5
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Loss
46% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.7
D
Sim
Braves (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 8, 2026
ATL @ LAA
8 - 2
Apr 7, 2026
ATL @ LAA
7 - 2
Apr 6, 2026
ATL @ LAA
2 - 6
Jul 3, 2025
LAA @ ATL
5 - 1
Jul 2, 2025
LAA @ ATL
3 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
5.00
.234
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.324
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.679
OPS
▲
.757
154
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+23.8% more
Atlanta: 5.0
vs
Los Angeles: 4.0
OPS (Season)
+7.8%
Atlanta: 75.7%
vs
Los Angeles: 67.9%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+6.4%
Atlanta: 43.3%
vs
Los Angeles: 36.9%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+1.4%
Atlanta: 32.4%
vs
Los Angeles: 31.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
3.0
4
ATL Score
5.7
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.0 / 9.1
7.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.7
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.9 / 8.3
10.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
11.3 / 17.1
10.0 / 11.0
Walks
3.0 / 4.8
7.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
LAA
ATL
LAA
ML
46%
77-90
59%
96-66
54%
90-78
55%
89-73
ATS
57%
96-71
60%
97-65
52%
87-81
51%
82-80
TTL
53%
83-73-11
53%
83-74-5
49%
76-80-11
52%
82-75-5
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