KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
39-46 | Road
6
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
44-40 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Steven Cruz
#64 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Eduard Bazardo
#83 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Cruz | None-None | 2.14 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Eduard Bazardo | None-None | 2.84 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.14 Ldr
ERA
2.84
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
44%
MARINERS
56%
ROYALS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
56%
Under 0
44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
KC By 1-2 runs
16.4%
KC By 3-4 runs
10.7%
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
16.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas City
4.06
KANSAS CITY
Seattle
5.03
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Kansas City
4
KANSAS CITY
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Loss
56% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Mariners (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 24, 2026
SEA @ KC
6 - 8
May 23, 2026
SEA @ KC
0 - 5
May 22, 2026
SEA @ KC
2 - 0
May 3, 2026
KC @ SEA
4 - 1
May 2, 2026
KC @ SEA
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Kansas City
KC
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.26
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.247
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.316
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.718
▲
OPS
.693
170
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+124.0% more
Seattle: 1.6
vs
Kansas City: 0.3
Total Bases (L5)
+77.6% more
Seattle: 16.3
vs
Kansas City: 9.2
Hits (L5)
+64.5% more
Seattle: 10.8
vs
Kansas City: 6.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+36.2% more
Seattle: 9.3
vs
Kansas City: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KC Score
4.1
6
SEA Score
5.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.8 / 6.6
7.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.3 / 6.9
3.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
16.3 / 9.2
12.0 / 16.0
Walks
3.3 / 3.3
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
KC
SEA
KC
ML
50%
81-81
55%
89-72
52%
85-77
56%
90-70
ATS
60%
98-64
57%
91-70
59%
95-67
58%
93-67
TTL
56%
85-67-10
58%
90-64-7
53%
81-71-10
54%
83-70-7
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