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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

28-56  |  Road

1
FINAL
Tue, Jul 1 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

53-32  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Miguel Vargas
STARTING PITCHER

Miguel Vargas

#20 | Third Base
@
Jack Dreyer
STARTING PITCHER

Jack Dreyer

#86 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Miguel Vargas None-None -- -- -- --
Jack Dreyer None-None 3.16 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.16
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
23%
📊
DODGERS
77%
WHITE SOX --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Los Angeles)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

35.0%

Dodgers Cover

65.0%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

CHW By 1-2 runs

14.9%

CHW By 3-4 runs

9.1%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.7%

LAD By 3-4 runs

17.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3.9
CHICAGO
5.44
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
CHICAGO
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Win
77% Win Prob
B
Sim Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.3
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 LAD @ CHW 4 - 6
Jun 13, 2026 LAD @ CHW 7 - 1
Jun 12, 2026 LAD @ CHW 2 - 8
Jul 3, 2025 CHW @ LAD 2 - 6
Jul 2, 2025 CHW @ LAD 4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Los Angeles LAD
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.94
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.257
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.338
.412
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.826 ▲
OPS
.762
1
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +20300.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5) +106.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.7 vs Chicago: 0.6
Total Bases (L5) +28.6% more
Los Angeles: 15.1 vs Chicago: 11.7
Errors (L5) +25.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.5 vs Chicago: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 3.9 1
LAD Score 5.4 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.3 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.9 / 8.4 7.0 / 3.0
Home Runs 1.7 / 0.6 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.3 / 8.5 12.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 15.1 / 11.7 11.0 / 4.0
Walks 2.6 / 4.7 2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
3%MONEY97%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
CHW
LAD
CHW
ML
56% 92-73
49% 81-86
48% 79-87
56% 94-73
ATS
59% 98-67
59% 99-68
43% 72-94
56% 93-74
TTL
48% 77-82-6
58% 96-69-2
44% 70-90-6
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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