SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
45-39 | Road
2
ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
41-42 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Logan Webb
#62 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Juan Morillo
#62 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb | None-None | 2.61 | -- | 6.1 | 7 |
| Juan Morillo | None-None | 4.01 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.61 Ldr
ERA
4.01
--
WHIP
--
6.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
7 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
54%
DIAMONDBACKS
46%
GIANTS
--
DIAMONDBACKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
SF By 1-2 runs
19.5%
SF By 3-4 runs
15.9%
ARI By 1-2 runs
16.7%
ARI By 3-4 runs
11.1%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
5.07
SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona
4.22
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
San Francisco
4
SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona
5
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Giants
Loss
54% Win Prob
D
Sim
Diamondbacks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Giants (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.9
B
Sim
Diamondbacks (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 29, 2026
ARI @ SF
7 - 1
Aug 28, 2026
ARI @ SF
10 - 6
Aug 27, 2026
ARI @ SF
1 - 6
Jul 1, 2026
SF @ ARI
6 - 4
Jun 30, 2026
SF @ ARI
2 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco
SF
vs
Arizona
ARI
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲
4.56
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.246
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.318
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.706
OPS
▲
.720
178
▲
Home Runs
166
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+6.7% more
San Francisco: 178.0
vs
Arizona: 166.0
Home Runs (L5)
+107.0% more
Arizona: 1.4
vs
San Francisco: 0.4
Strikeouts (L5)
+68.5% more
Arizona: 10.6
vs
San Francisco: 6.3
Errors (L5)
+64.0% more
Arizona: 1.3
vs
San Francisco: 0.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
5.1
2
ARI Score
4.2
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.3 / 0.6
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.1 / 6.2
8.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 0.4
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
10.6 / 6.3
10.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
14.2 / 9.1
15.0 / 11.0
Walks
4.7 / 3.1
0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
ARI
Advantage
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARI
SF
ARI
SF
ML
54%
87-74
49%
79-81
54%
86-74
53%
85-75
ATS
57%
91-70
62%
100-60
56%
89-71
52%
83-77
TTL
52%
80-73-8
55%
82-68-10
49%
73-77-9
46%
68-81-11
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