ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
34-51 | Road
5
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
47-35 | Home
12
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Elvis Alvarado
#37 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tim Hill
#41 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Alvarado | None-None | 6.43 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Tim Hill | None-None | 2.52 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.43
ERA
Ldr 2.52
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
33%
YANKEES
67%
ATHLETICS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
90%
Under 0
10%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
ATH By 1-2 runs
15.9%
ATH By 3-4 runs
10.2%
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.7%
NYY By 3-4 runs
16.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
2.87
ATHLETICS
New York
4.03
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yankees
Win
67% Win Prob
C
Sim
Yankees
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Yankees (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim
Yankees (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.9
A
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 31, 2026
NYY @ ATH
13 - 8
May 30, 2026
NYY @ ATH
4 - 6
May 29, 2026
NYY @ ATH
8 - 2
Apr 9, 2026
ATH @ NYY
1 - 0
Apr 8, 2026
ATH @ NYY
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.31
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.719
OPS
▲
1.041
194
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+108.8% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Athletics: 4.3
Strikeouts (L5)
+31.6% more
New York: 9.1
vs
Athletics: 6.9
Slugging Pct (Season)
+19.2%
New York: 59.4%
vs
Athletics: 40.2%
Batting Avg (Season)
+13.0%
New York: 37.5%
vs
Athletics: 24.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
2.9
5
NYY Score
4.0
12
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.7
0.0 / 3.0
Hits
6.3 / 6.4
9.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.0
4.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.1 / 6.9
5.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
9.9 / 9.7
23.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.4 / 3.7
6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
ATH
NYY
ATH
ML
47%
76-85
59%
95-67
52%
85-77
54%
87-74
ATS
59%
95-66
52%
84-78
53%
86-76
50%
81-80
TTL
53%
81-73-7
54%
84-73-5
53%
82-72-7
42%
66-90-5
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