COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
18-65 | Road
4
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
47-36 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Juan Mejia
#47 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Anderson
#56 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Mejia | None-None | 3.95 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Grant Anderson | None-None | 3.05 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.95
ERA
Ldr 3.05
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
17%
BREWERS
83%
ROCKIES
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.3 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
COL By 1-2 runs
12.7%
COL By 3-4 runs
7.1%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.4%
MIL By 3-4 runs
18.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
4.27
COLORADO
Milwaukee
6.55
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Milwaukee
6
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Loss
83% Win Prob
A
Sim
Brewers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Brewers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.3
C
Sim
Brewers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 26, 2026
COL @ MIL
2 - 11
Jul 25, 2026
COL @ MIL
5 - 8
Jul 24, 2026
COL @ MIL
5 - 2
Jun 7, 2026
MIL @ COL
12 - 4
Jun 6, 2026
MIL @ COL
7 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.64
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.254
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.739
OPS
▲
.743
180
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+133.7% more
Milwaukee: 11.2
vs
Colorado: 4.8
Total Bases (L5)
+91.2% more
Milwaukee: 15.8
vs
Colorado: 8.3
Hits (L5)
+83.1% more
Milwaukee: 10.6
vs
Colorado: 5.8
Home Runs (L5)
+73.0% more
Milwaukee: 1.1
vs
Colorado: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
4.3
4
MIL Score
6.6
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.5
2.0 / 1.0
Hits
10.6 / 5.8
6.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.3
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
11.2 / 4.8
15.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
15.8 / 8.3
12.0 / 16.0
Walks
2.8 / 3.1
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
COL
MIL
COL
ML
62%
101-61
60%
97-64
52%
84-78
55%
88-73
ATS
58%
94-68
60%
97-64
48%
78-84
52%
83-78
TTL
40%
62-92-8
60%
93-62-6
50%
77-77-8
50%
77-78-6
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
Padres' Bullpen Boosted for Game 4 as Miller Returns, King Avail…