LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
52-32 | Road
5
KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
39-44 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Dreyer
#86 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Steven Cruz
#64 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Dreyer | None-None | 3.24 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Steven Cruz | None-None | 2.20 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.24
ERA
Ldr 2.20
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
65%
ROYALS
35%
DODGERS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
56%
Under 0
44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.1%
LAD By 3-4 runs
15.0%
KC By 1-2 runs
17.5%
KC By 3-4 runs
12.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4.45
LOS ANGELES
Kansas City
3.95
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Kansas City
5
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers
Win
65% Win Prob
C
Sim
Royals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.5
C
Sim
Royals (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 12, 2026
KC @ LAD
2 - 4
Aug 11, 2026
KC @ LAD
4 - 5
Aug 10, 2026
KC @ LAD
5 - 6
Jun 29, 2025
LAD @ KC
5 - 1
Jun 28, 2025
LAD @ KC
5 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Kansas City
KC
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.26
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.762
▲
OPS
.718
204
▲
Home Runs
170
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+53.9% more
Los Angeles: 1.5
vs
Kansas City: 0.7
Errors (L5)
+21.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.8
vs
Kansas City: 0.6
Home Runs (Season)
+16.7% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Kansas City: 170.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+13.8% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
Kansas City: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
4.5
5
KC Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.8
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.3 / 8.4
5.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.5
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.7 / 7.4
7.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
14.6 / 15.1
6.0 / 15.0
Walks
3.6 / 3.3
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
KC
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
LAD
KC
LAD
ML
55%
89-72
56%
92-73
56%
90-70
48%
79-87
ATS
57%
91-70
59%
98-67
58%
93-67
43%
72-94
TTL
58%
90-64-7
48%
77-82-6
54%
83-70-7
44%
70-90-6
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