Home / MLB Projections MLB / Nationals @ Angels WSH @ LAA

WASHINGTON

NATIONALSWSH

34-49  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sun, Jun 29 • 4:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

41-41  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Jacob Young
STARTING PITCHER

Jacob Young

#30 | Center Field
@
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jacob Young None-None -- -- -- --
Reid Detmers None-None 4.21 -- 1.1 3
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 4.21
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.1
-- K (Strikeouts) 3
AI Model Win Probability
NATIONALS
41%
📊
ANGELS
59%
NATIONALS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Los Angeles)
NationalsWSH (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nationals Cover

46.1%

Angels Cover

53.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

WSH By 1-2 runs

17.7%

WSH By 3-4 runs

12.4%

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.0%

LAA By 3-4 runs

14.7%

AI Model Projected Score
4.53
WASHINGTON
4.92
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
WASHINGTON
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Loss
59% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.4
C
Sim Angels (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.5
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 13, 2026 LAA @ WSH 5 - 6
Sep 12, 2026 LAA @ WSH 5 - 6
Sep 11, 2026 LAA @ WSH 3 - 4
Jun 29, 2025 WSH @ LAA 7 - 4
Jun 28, 2025 WSH @ LAA 2 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Washington WSH
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
5.07 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.246 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.321 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.423 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.744 ▲
OPS
.679
210 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +157.0% more
Los Angeles: 2.6 vs Washington: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5) +33.4% more
Los Angeles: 9.0 vs Washington: 6.7
Total Bases (L5) +20.1% more
Los Angeles: 18.7 vs Washington: 15.5
Home Runs (Season) +26.7% more
Washington: 210.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 4.5 7
LAA Score 4.9 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.5 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.2 / 10.6 9.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 2.6 / 1.0 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 9.0 / 6.7 7.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 18.7 / 15.5 14.0 / 16.0
Walks 3.3 / 4.1 8.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
40%MONEY60%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +1.3
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
WSH
LAA
WSH
ML
59% 96-66
57% 92-69
55% 89-73
54% 87-74
ATS
60% 97-65
58% 93-68
51% 82-80
57% 91-70
TTL
53% 83-74-5
50% 77-78-6
52% 82-75-5
42% 65-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 52 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 6 hours, 41 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 12 hours, 48 minutes ago
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
headtopics 18 hours, 52 minutes ago
Walt Weiss Reveals Why Ronald Acuña Jr. Was DH in Game 3
yahoo 1 day, 18 hours ago