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ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

33-51  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Jun 28 • 1:05 PM ET
Yankee Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

47-34  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Jack Perkins
STARTING PITCHER

Jack Perkins

#50 | Starting Pitcher
@
Jasson Dominguez
STARTING PITCHER

Jasson Dominguez

#24 | Right Field
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jack Perkins None-None 0.00 -- 3.1 3
Jasson Dominguez None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 ERA --
-- WHIP --
3.1 IP (Innings Pitched) --
3 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
32%
📊
YANKEES
68%
ATHLETICS --
YANKEES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 75%
Under 0 25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (New York)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 YankeesNYY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

24.9%

Yankees Cover

75.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)

ATH By 1-2 runs

11.5%

ATH By 3-4 runs

6.1%

NYY By 1-2 runs

18.9%

NYY By 3-4 runs

19.4%

AI Model Projected Score
2.14
ATHLETICS
4.85
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
ATHLETICS
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Yankees Loss
68% Win Prob
C
Sim Yankees Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Yankees (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.7
C
Sim Yankees (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 31, 2026 NYY @ ATH 13 - 8
May 30, 2026 NYY @ ATH 4 - 6
May 29, 2026 NYY @ ATH 8 - 2
Apr 9, 2026 ATH @ NYY 1 - 0
Apr 8, 2026 ATH @ NYY 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
New York NYY
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.31
Runs / Game
▲ 9.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .375
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .447
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .594
.719
OPS
▲ 1.041
194 ▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season) +108.8% more
New York: 9.0 vs Athletics: 4.3
Total Bases (L5) +75.5% more
New York: 13.3 vs Athletics: 7.6
Home Runs (L5) +58.0% more
New York: 1.1 vs Athletics: 0.5
Hits (L5) +43.9% more
New York: 8.0 vs Athletics: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 2.1 7
NYY Score 4.9 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 1.0 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.0 / 5.5 3.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.1 / 0.5 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 9.2 / 6.9 9.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 13.3 / 7.6 3.0 / 14.0
Walks 2.7 / 3.1 5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
2%MONEY98%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
NYY Advantage
95-71-0 (57.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
NYY Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
ATH
NYY
ATH
ML
47% 76-85
59% 95-67
52% 85-77
54% 87-74
ATS
59% 95-66
52% 84-78
53% 86-76
50% 81-80
TTL
53% 81-73-7
54% 84-73-5
53% 82-72-7
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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