COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
18-64 | Road
0
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
46-36 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Braxton Fulford
#37 | Catcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Aaron Ashby
#26 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Fulford | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Aaron Ashby | None-None | 1.08 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
1.08
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
18%
BREWERS
82%
ROCKIES
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
COL By 1-2 runs
15.9%
COL By 3-4 runs
10.2%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
16.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
4.95
COLORADO
Milwaukee
6.1
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Win
82% Win Prob
A
Sim
Brewers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Brewers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.1
D
Sim
Brewers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.1
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 26, 2026
COL @ MIL
2 - 11
Jul 25, 2026
COL @ MIL
5 - 8
Jul 24, 2026
COL @ MIL
5 - 2
Jun 7, 2026
MIL @ COL
12 - 4
Jun 6, 2026
MIL @ COL
7 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.64
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.254
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.739
OPS
▲
.743
180
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+98.4% more
Milwaukee: 11.3
vs
Colorado: 5.7
Home Runs (L5)
+60.0% more
Milwaukee: 1.1
vs
Colorado: 0.5
Hits (L5)
+33.3% more
Milwaukee: 10.9
vs
Colorado: 8.2
Total Bases (L5)
+31.9% more
Milwaukee: 15.7
vs
Colorado: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
5.0
0
MIL Score
6.1
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.8
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.9 / 8.2
10.0 / 1.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
11.3 / 5.7
11.0 / 3.0
Total Bases
15.7 / 11.9
16.0 / 1.0
Walks
2.2 / 3.2
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
COL
MIL
COL
ML
62%
101-61
60%
97-64
52%
84-78
55%
88-73
ATS
58%
94-68
60%
97-64
48%
78-84
52%
83-78
TTL
40%
62-92-8
60%
93-62-6
50%
77-77-8
50%
77-78-6
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