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ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

33-50  |  Road

0
FINAL
Fri, Jun 27 • 7:05 PM ET
Yankee Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

46-34  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Tyler Soderstrom
STARTING PITCHER

Tyler Soderstrom

#21 | Left Field
@
Fernando Cruz
STARTING PITCHER

Fernando Cruz

#63 | RP
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tyler Soderstrom None-None -- -- -- --
Fernando Cruz None-None 3.00 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.00
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
33%
📊
YANKEES
67%
ATHLETICS --
YANKEES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 65%
Under 0 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.6
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.6 points (New York)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 YankeesNYY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

25.9%

Yankees Cover

74.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -2.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)

ATH By 1-2 runs

11.9%

ATH By 3-4 runs

6.4%

NYY By 1-2 runs

19.0%

NYY By 3-4 runs

19.2%

AI Model Projected Score
2.55
ATHLETICS
5.13
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
ATHLETICS
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Yankees Win
67% Win Prob
C
Sim Yankees Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Yankees (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.6
D
Sim Yankees (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.7
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 31, 2026 NYY @ ATH 13 - 8
May 30, 2026 NYY @ ATH 4 - 6
May 29, 2026 NYY @ ATH 8 - 2
Apr 9, 2026 ATH @ NYY 1 - 0
Apr 8, 2026 ATH @ NYY 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
New York NYY
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.31
Runs / Game
▲ 9.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .375
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .447
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .594
.719
OPS
▲ 1.041
194 ▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season) +108.8% more
New York: 9.0 vs Athletics: 4.3
Total Bases (L5) +85.6% more
New York: 16.5 vs Athletics: 8.9
Hits (L5) +57.6% more
New York: 10.0 vs Athletics: 6.3
Home Runs (L5) +37.0% more
New York: 1.1 vs Athletics: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 2.6 0
NYY Score 5.1 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 1.0 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 10.0 / 6.3 4.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 1.1 / 0.8 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.3 / 6.9 11.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 16.5 / 8.9 7.0 / 5.0
Walks 2.0 / 2.2 4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
5%MONEY95%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
NYY Advantage
95-71-0 (57.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
NYY Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
ATH
NYY
ATH
ML
47% 76-85
59% 95-67
52% 85-77
54% 87-74
ATS
59% 95-66
52% 84-78
53% 86-76
50% 81-80
TTL
53% 81-73-7
54% 84-73-5
53% 82-72-7
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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