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MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

39-42  |  Road

4
FINAL
Fri, Jun 27 • 7:10 PM ET
Comerica Park
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

TIGERSDET

51-31  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Kody Clemens
STARTING PITCHER

Kody Clemens

#2 | Second Base
@
Javier Baez
STARTING PITCHER

Javier Baez

#28 | Shortstop
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Kody Clemens None-None -- -- -- --
Javier Baez None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA --
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
36%
📊
TIGERS
64%
TWINS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 79%
Under 0 21%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Detroit)
TwinsMIN (-3.5) 0 TigersDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Twins Cover

48.1%

Tigers Cover

51.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

MIN By 1-2 runs

18.1%

MIN By 3-4 runs

13.0%

DET By 1-2 runs

18.7%

DET By 3-4 runs

14.1%

AI Model Projected Score
4.72
MINNESOTA
4.91
DETROIT
Simulated Score
5
MINNESOTA
3
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Loss
64% Win Prob
C
Sim Twins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
C
Sim Twins (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.6
B
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 9, 2026 MIN @ DET 2 - 7
Sep 8, 2026 MIN @ DET 3 - 2
Sep 7, 2026 MIN @ DET 4 - 5
Sep 2, 2026 DET @ MIN 11 - 6
Sep 1, 2026 DET @ MIN 2 - 15
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota MIN
vs
Detroit DET
162
Games Played
162
4.56 ▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .320
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.720
OPS
.720
187 ▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +48.2% more
Detroit: 2.9 vs Minnesota: 1.9
Hits (L5) +9.8% more
Detroit: 9.3 vs Minnesota: 8.5
On-Base Pct (Season) +0.3%
Detroit: 32.0% vs Minnesota: 31.7%
Home Runs (L5) +26.6% more
Minnesota: 2.0 vs Detroit: 1.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 4.7 4
DET Score 4.9 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.8 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.3 / 8.5 6.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 1.5 / 2.0 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 6.9 / 9.0 9.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 16.8 / 16.3 8.0 / 11.0
Walks 2.9 / 1.9 4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
8%MONEY92%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MIN
DET
MIN
ML
54% 86-73
52% 84-78
54% 87-73
50% 80-81
ATS
64% 101-58
59% 95-67
57% 91-69
59% 95-66
TTL
46% 69-81-9
51% 78-75-9
46% 69-81-10
53% 80-72-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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