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LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

51-31  |  Road

5
FINAL
Fri, Jun 27 • 8:10 PM ET
Kauffman Stadium
View Odds Details →

KANSAS CITY

ROYALSKC

38-43  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
@
Lucas Erceg
STARTING PITCHER

Lucas Erceg

#60 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tanner Scott None-None 3.46 -- 1.0 1
Lucas Erceg None-None 2.12 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
3.46 ERA Ldr 2.12
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
65%
📊
ROYALS
35%
DODGERS --
ROYALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 70%
Under 0 30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Kansas City)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 RoyalsKC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

42.6%

Royals Cover

57.4%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around KC -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)

LAD By 1-2 runs

16.9%

LAD By 3-4 runs

11.4%

KC By 1-2 runs

19.4%

KC By 3-4 runs

15.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3.79
LOS ANGELES
4.54
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
5
LOS ANGELES
3
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Royals Loss
35% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Royals (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.8
D
Sim Dodgers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.3
B
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 12, 2026 KC @ LAD 2 - 4
Aug 11, 2026 KC @ LAD 4 - 5
Aug 10, 2026 KC @ LAD 5 - 6
Jun 29, 2025 LAD @ KC 5 - 1
Jun 28, 2025 LAD @ KC 5 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Kansas City KC
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.26
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.762 ▲
OPS
.718
204 ▲
Home Runs
170
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +80.1% more
Los Angeles: 1.7 vs Kansas City: 0.3
Total Bases (L5) +57.7% more
Los Angeles: 17.4 vs Kansas City: 7.4
Hits (L5) +47.1% more
Los Angeles: 9.4 vs Kansas City: 5.0
Walks (L5) +44.9% more
Los Angeles: 3.0 vs Kansas City: 1.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 3.8 5
KC Score 4.5 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.6 2.0 / 1.0
Hits 5.0 / 9.4 11.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 0.3 / 1.7 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 8.3 / 8.7 9.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 7.4 / 17.4 18.0 / 12.0
Walks 1.7 / 3.0 4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
81%MONEY19%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
80%MONEY20%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
36%MONEY64%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0 (42.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
KC Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
LAD
KC
LAD
ML
55% 89-72
56% 92-73
56% 90-70
48% 79-87
ATS
57% 91-70
59% 98-67
58% 93-67
43% 72-94
TTL
58% 90-64-7
48% 77-82-6
54% 83-70-7
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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