Home / MLB Projections MLB / Rockies @ Brewers COL @ MIL

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

18-63  |  Road

6
FINAL
Fri, Jun 27 • 8:10 PM ET
American Family Field
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

45-36  |  Home

10
Probable Pitchers
Jimmy Herget
STARTING PITCHER

Jimmy Herget

#44 | Relief Pitcher
@
Grant Anderson
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Anderson

#56 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jimmy Herget None-None 3.02 -- 1.2 2
Grant Anderson None-None 3.12 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
3.02 Ldr ERA 3.12
-- WHIP --
1.2 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
2 K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
19%
📊
BREWERS
81%
ROCKIES --
BREWERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Milwaukee)
RockiesCOL (-3.5) 0 BrewersMIL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rockies Cover

39.0%

Brewers Cover

61.0%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

COL By 1-2 runs

16.0%

COL By 3-4 runs

10.3%

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.7%

MIL By 3-4 runs

16.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4.72
COLORADO
5.84
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
3
COLORADO
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Brewers Win
81% Win Prob
A
Sim Brewers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Brewers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.1
D
Sim Brewers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.6
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 26, 2026 COL @ MIL 2 - 11
Jul 25, 2026 COL @ MIL 5 - 8
Jul 24, 2026 COL @ MIL 5 - 2
Jun 7, 2026 MIL @ COL 12 - 4
Jun 6, 2026 MIL @ COL 7 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado COL
vs
Milwaukee MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.64
Runs / Game
▲ 5.14
.254
Avg (AVG)
▲ .258
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .341
.417 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.739
OPS
▲ .743
180 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +74.8% more
Milwaukee: 11.4 vs Colorado: 6.5
Hits (L5) +57.3% more
Milwaukee: 9.9 vs Colorado: 6.3
Total Bases (L5) +47.7% more
Milwaukee: 14.6 vs Colorado: 9.9
Home Runs (L5) +39.0% more
Milwaukee: 1.2 vs Colorado: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 4.7 6
MIL Score 5.8 10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.7 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 9.9 / 6.3 13.0 / 12.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 0.8 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 11.4 / 6.5 11.0 / 4.0
Total Bases 14.6 / 9.9 18.0 / 16.0
Walks 2.3 / 2.3 2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
3%MONEY97%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
32%MONEY68%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
COL
MIL
COL
ML
62% 101-61
60% 97-64
52% 84-78
55% 88-73
ATS
58% 94-68
60% 97-64
48% 78-84
52% 83-78
TTL
40% 62-92-8
60% 93-62-6
50% 77-77-8
50% 77-78-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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