SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
41-38 | Road
1
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
38-42 | Home
10
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Emerson Hancock
#26 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kody Clemens
#2 | Second Base| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson Hancock | None-None | 5.30 | -- | 5.0 | 2 |
| Kody Clemens | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.30
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
5.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
2
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
0%
TWINS
100%
MARINERS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.3 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.3%
SEA By 3-4 runs
18.9%
MIN By 1-2 runs
12.6%
MIN By 3-4 runs
7.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5.62
SEATTLE
Minnesota
3.28
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Twins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.3
D
Sim
Twins (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 2, 2026
MIN @ SEA
6 - 7
Aug 1, 2026
MIN @ SEA
3 - 4
Jul 31, 2026
MIN @ SEA
5 - 3
Apr 29, 2026
SEA @ MIN
5 - 3
Apr 28, 2026
SEA @ MIN
7 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.56
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.693
OPS
▲
.720
182
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+11.8% more
Seattle: 8.2
vs
Minnesota: 7.3
Errors (L5)
+103.0% more
Minnesota: 1.2
vs
Seattle: 0.2
Strikeouts (L5)
+20.4% more
Minnesota: 9.0
vs
Seattle: 7.4
Runs per Game (Season)
+11.2% more
Minnesota: 4.6
vs
Seattle: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.6
1
MIN Score
3.3
10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.2 / 0.2
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
7.3 / 8.2
11.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 1.4
3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.0 / 7.4
9.0 / 3.0
Total Bases
13.0 / 13.4
23.0 / 8.0
Walks
1.9 / 1.9
2.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
SEA
MIN
SEA
ML
52%
84-78
50%
81-81
50%
80-81
52%
85-77
ATS
59%
95-67
60%
98-64
59%
95-66
59%
95-67
TTL
51%
78-75-9
56%
85-67-10
53%
80-72-9
53%
81-71-10
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