Home / MLB Projections MLB / Red Sox @ Angels BOS @ LAA

BOSTON

RED SOXBOS

40-41  |  Road

2
FINAL
Wed, Jun 25 • 4:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

39-40  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Ceddanne Rafaela
STARTING PITCHER

Ceddanne Rafaela

#3 | Center Field
@
Travis d'Arnaud
STARTING PITCHER

Travis d'Arnaud

#25 | Catcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Ceddanne Rafaela None-None -- -- -- --
Travis d'Arnaud None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA --
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
RED SOX
100%
📊
ANGELS
0%
RED SOX --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Los Angeles)
Red SoxBOS (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Sox Cover

37.3%

Angels Cover

62.7%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

BOS By 1-2 runs

15.5%

BOS By 3-4 runs

9.8%

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.7%

LAA By 3-4 runs

17.0%

AI Model Projected Score
4.04
BOSTON
5.34
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
BOSTON
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.3
D
Sim Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.4
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 9, 2026 LAA @ BOS 6 - 4
Sep 8, 2026 LAA @ BOS 6 - 1
Sep 7, 2026 LAA @ BOS 2 - 5
Jul 5, 2026 BOS @ LAA 7 - 5
Jul 4, 2026 BOS @ LAA 8 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Boston BOS
vs
Los Angeles LAA
2
Games Played
▲ 162
1.00
Runs / Game
▲ 4.04
.117
Avg (AVG)
▲ .234
.159
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .310
.250
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .369
.409
OPS
▲ .679
2
Home Runs
▲ 154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +7600.0% more
Los Angeles: 154.0 vs Boston: 2.0
Runs per Game (Season) +304.0% more
Los Angeles: 4.0 vs Boston: 1.0
Home Runs (L5) +105.0% more
Los Angeles: 2.0 vs Boston: 0.9
OPS (Season) +27.0%
Los Angeles: 67.9% vs Boston: 40.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 4.0 2
LAA Score 5.3 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.7 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.7 / 7.3 10.0 / 3.0
Home Runs 2.0 / 0.9 2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 9.4 / 10.0 14.0 / 12.0
Total Bases 14.8 / 12.1 17.0 / 3.0
Walks 3.3 / 5.1 2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS Advantage
87-77-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
74-86-4
O: 46.3% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: 0.0
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
BOS
LAA
BOS
ML
59% 96-66
50% 80-80
55% 89-73
47% 76-87
ATS
60% 97-65
58% 93-67
51% 82-80
48% 79-84
TTL
53% 83-74-5
46% 72-83-5
52% 82-75-5
47% 74-83-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 4 hours, 55 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 10 hours, 44 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 16 hours, 51 minutes ago
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
headtopics 22 hours, 55 minutes ago
Walt Weiss Reveals Why Ronald Acuña Jr. Was DH in Game 3
yahoo 1 day, 22 hours ago