SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
40-37 | Road
6
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
37-41 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Jeffers
#27 | Catcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 1.21 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Ryan Jeffers | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.21
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
2
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
0%
TWINS
100%
MARINERS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
17.5%
MIN By 1-2 runs
15.0%
MIN By 3-4 runs
9.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5.23
SEATTLE
Minnesota
3.72
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Twins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim
Twins (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 2, 2026
MIN @ SEA
6 - 7
Aug 1, 2026
MIN @ SEA
3 - 4
Jul 31, 2026
MIN @ SEA
5 - 3
Apr 29, 2026
SEA @ MIN
5 - 3
Apr 28, 2026
SEA @ MIN
7 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.56
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.693
OPS
▲
.720
182
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+32.4% more
Seattle: 3.1
vs
Minnesota: 2.1
Total Bases (L5)
+29.0% more
Seattle: 23.8
vs
Minnesota: 16.9
Hits (L5)
+26.9% more
Seattle: 12.8
vs
Minnesota: 9.3
Strikeouts (L5)
+14.5% more
Seattle: 9.2
vs
Minnesota: 7.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.2
6
MIN Score
3.7
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.3 / 12.8
8.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
2.1 / 3.1
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.9 / 9.2
8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
16.9 / 23.8
14.0 / 8.0
Walks
2.5 / 2.0
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
SEA
MIN
SEA
ML
52%
84-78
50%
81-81
50%
80-81
52%
85-77
ATS
59%
95-67
60%
98-64
59%
95-66
59%
95-67
TTL
51%
78-75-9
56%
85-67-10
53%
80-72-9
53%
81-71-10
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