ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
40-38 | Road
4
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
25-54 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Juan Morillo
#62 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Edgar Quero
#26 | Catcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Morillo | None-None | 4.15 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Edgar Quero | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.15
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
DIAMONDBACKS
0%
WHITE SOX
100%
DIAMONDBACKS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Arizona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ARI -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARI)
ARI By 1-2 runs
19.5%
ARI By 3-4 runs
18.6%
CHW By 1-2 runs
13.3%
CHW By 3-4 runs
7.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Arizona
5.27
ARIZONA
Chicago
3.17
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Arizona
3
ARIZONA
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Diamondbacks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Diamondbacks (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.1
D
Sim
White Sox (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 23, 2026
CHW @ ARI
4 - 1
Apr 22, 2026
CHW @ ARI
7 - 11
Apr 21, 2026
CHW @ ARI
11 - 5
Jun 25, 2025
ARI @ CHW
3 - 7
Jun 24, 2025
ARI @ CHW
4 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Arizona
ARI
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.56
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.246
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.318
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.720
OPS
▲
.826
166
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.4% more
Arizona: 166.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+83.8% more
Arizona: 1.9
vs
Chicago: 0.3
Total Bases (L5)
+53.8% more
Arizona: 18.9
vs
Chicago: 8.7
Hits (L5)
+45.4% more
Arizona: 10.5
vs
Chicago: 5.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARI Score
5.3
4
CHW Score
3.2
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.0 / 0.7
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.7 / 10.5
3.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.3 / 1.9
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.4 / 11.1
5.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
8.7 / 18.9
7.0 / 11.0
Walks
3.9 / 2.9
0.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
Advantage
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
CHW
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
ARI
CHW
ARI
ML
49%
81-86
54%
87-74
56%
94-73
54%
86-74
ATS
59%
99-68
57%
91-70
56%
93-74
56%
89-71
TTL
58%
96-69-2
52%
80-73-8
51%
84-81-2
49%
73-77-9
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