SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
39-37 | Road
11
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
37-40 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Eduard Bazardo
#83 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Bailey Ober
#17 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduard Bazardo | None-None | 2.97 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Bailey Ober | None-None | 4.90 | -- | 7.0 | 7 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.97 Ldr
ERA
4.90
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 7.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 7
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
100%
TWINS
0%
MARINERS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
SEA By 1-2 runs
18.1%
SEA By 3-4 runs
13.0%
MIN By 1-2 runs
18.8%
MIN By 3-4 runs
14.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
4.2
SEATTLE
Minnesota
4.41
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Twins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Twins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Twins (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
D
Sim
Twins (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 2, 2026
MIN @ SEA
6 - 7
Aug 1, 2026
MIN @ SEA
3 - 4
Jul 31, 2026
MIN @ SEA
5 - 3
Apr 29, 2026
SEA @ MIN
5 - 3
Apr 28, 2026
SEA @ MIN
7 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.56
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.693
OPS
▲
.720
182
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+46.5% more
Minnesota: 3.8
vs
Seattle: 2.6
Errors (L5)
+46.0% more
Minnesota: 0.5
vs
Seattle: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+11.2% more
Minnesota: 4.6
vs
Seattle: 4.1
Home Runs (Season)
+2.7% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
Seattle: 182.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
4.2
11
MIN Score
4.4
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.0
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
10.5 / 13.2
7.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
2.1 / 2.6
2.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts
6.9 / 8.4
10.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
18.4 / 23.2
14.0 / 25.0
Walks
3.8 / 2.6
0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
SEA
MIN
SEA
ML
52%
84-78
50%
81-81
50%
80-81
52%
85-77
ATS
59%
95-67
60%
98-64
59%
95-66
59%
95-67
TTL
51%
78-75-9
56%
85-67-10
53%
80-72-9
53%
81-71-10
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