ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
35-40 | Road
3
MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
30-45 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Dylan Dodd
#46 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Calvin Faucher
#53 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Dodd | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.2 | 1 |
| Calvin Faucher | None-None | 3.58 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
3.58
--
WHIP
--
1.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
0%
MARLINS
100%
BRAVES
--
MARLINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATL -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ATL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
ATL By 3-4 runs
17.4%
MIA By 1-2 runs
15.1%
MIA By 3-4 runs
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
4.73
ATLANTA
Miami
3.27
MIAMI
Simulated Score
Atlanta
4
ATLANTA
Miami
2
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim
Braves (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
ATL @ MIA
3 - 5
Sep 26, 2026
ATL @ MIA
8 - 3
Sep 25, 2026
ATL @ MIA
0 - 3
Aug 6, 2026
MIA @ ATL
3 - 11
Aug 5, 2026
MIA @ ATL
1 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta
ATL
vs
Miami
MIA
1
Games Played
▲
162
5.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.41
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.249
.324
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.326
.433
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.757
▲
OPS
.727
1
Home Runs
▲
168
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+32.0% more
Atlanta: 0.9
vs
Miami: 0.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+23.8% more
Atlanta: 9.2
vs
Miami: 7.0
Total Bases (L5)
+19.9% more
Atlanta: 13.2
vs
Miami: 10.6
Hits (L5)
+15.6% more
Atlanta: 8.6
vs
Miami: 7.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
4.7
3
MIA Score
3.3
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.2 / 8.6
12.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 0.9
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.0 / 9.2
7.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
10.6 / 13.2
19.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.1 / 3.7
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
MIA
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
MIA
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
ATL
MIA
ATL
ML
48%
78-84
46%
77-90
55%
88-72
54%
90-78
ATS
56%
91-71
57%
96-71
54%
86-74
52%
87-81
TTL
56%
88-69-5
53%
83-73-11
53%
82-73-5
49%
76-80-11
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
Walt Weiss Reveals Why Ronald Acuña Jr. Was DH in Game 3
Shohei Ohtani's Slump Raises Concerns for Dodgers in NLDS