MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
42-35 | Road
9
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
37-39 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Megill
#29 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Jeffers
#27 | Catcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Megill | None-None | 2.70 | -- | 1.1 | 2 |
| Ryan Jeffers | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.70
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
2
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
0%
TWINS
100%
BREWERS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.3
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.3 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -3.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
17.9%
MIL By 3-4 runs
19.7%
MIN By 1-2 runs
9.8%
MIN By 3-4 runs
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
6.83
MILWAUKEE
Minnesota
3.54
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Twins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.3
D
Sim
Twins (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 9, 2026
MIN @ MIL
3 - 4
Aug 8, 2026
MIN @ MIL
3 - 4
Aug 7, 2026
MIN @ MIL
8 - 6
May 17, 2026
MIL @ MIN
4 - 5
May 16, 2026
MIL @ MIN
2 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.403
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.743
▲
OPS
.720
154
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+44.4% more
Milwaukee: 12.2
vs
Minnesota: 6.8
Total Bases (L5)
+31.7% more
Milwaukee: 17.7
vs
Minnesota: 12.1
Runs per Game (Season)
+11.3% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Minnesota: 4.6
On-Base Pct (Season)
+2.4%
Milwaukee: 34.1%
vs
Minnesota: 31.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
6.8
9
MIN Score
3.5
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.8 / 12.2
18.0 / 17.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 0.7
4.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
6.8 / 7.3
7.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
12.1 / 17.7
31.0 / 26.0
Walks
4.1 / 3.6
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
MIL
MIN
MIL
ML
52%
84-78
62%
101-61
50%
80-81
52%
84-78
ATS
59%
95-67
58%
94-68
59%
95-66
48%
78-84
TTL
51%
78-75-9
40%
62-92-8
53%
80-72-9
50%
77-77-8
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