CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
37-37 | Road
4
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
32-46 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Hunter Gaddis
#33 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Hogan Harris
#36 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Gaddis | None-None | 2.08 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Hogan Harris | None-None | 3.56 | -- | 2.0 | 4 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.08 Ldr
ERA
3.56
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 4
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
100%
ATHLETICS
0%
GUARDIANS
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.4
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.4 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATH -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
CLE By 1-2 runs
12.3%
CLE By 3-4 runs
6.7%
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.2%
ATH By 3-4 runs
19.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
2.05
CLEVELAND
Athletics
4.48
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Cleveland
5
CLEVELAND
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Athletics
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Guardians
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Athletics (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.4
D
Sim
Guardians (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
ATH @ CLE
0 - 1
Sep 19, 2026
ATH @ CLE
6 - 12
Sep 18, 2026
ATH @ CLE
3 - 5
May 3, 2026
CLE @ ATH
1 - 7
May 2, 2026
CLE @ ATH
14 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.696
OPS
▲
.719
162
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+98.0% more
Athletics: 1.7
vs
Cleveland: 0.8
Hits (L5)
+59.9% more
Athletics: 9.2
vs
Cleveland: 5.7
Total Bases (L5)
+54.2% more
Athletics: 15.4
vs
Cleveland: 10.0
Home Runs (Season)
+19.8% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Cleveland: 162.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
2.1
4
ATH Score
4.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.9
2.0 / 1.0
Hits
9.2 / 5.7
5.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 0.8
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 8.2
10.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
15.4 / 10.0
8.0 / 14.0
Walks
3.2 / 2.7
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
Advantage
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
CLE
ATH
CLE
ML
59%
95-67
54%
87-74
54%
87-74
49%
80-82
ATS
52%
84-78
58%
93-68
50%
81-80
59%
95-67
TTL
54%
84-73-5
55%
88-71-2
42%
66-90-5
43%
69-90-2
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