WASHINGTON
NATIONALSWSH
31-45 | Road
7
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
47-30 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jake Irvin
#27 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Will Klein
#61 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin | None-None | 4.18 | -- | 5.1 | 7 |
| Will Klein | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.2 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.18
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
5.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.2
7 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
NATIONALS
100%
DODGERS
0%
NATIONALS
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
WSH By 1-2 runs
18.0%
WSH By 3-4 runs
12.8%
LAD By 1-2 runs
18.8%
LAD By 3-4 runs
14.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
4.09
WASHINGTON
Los Angeles
4.35
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.3
D
Sim
Dodgers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
WSH @ LAD
5 - 7
Sep 5, 2026
WSH @ LAD
5 - 6
Sep 4, 2026
WSH @ LAD
3 - 5
Apr 5, 2026
LAD @ WSH
8 - 6
Apr 4, 2026
LAD @ WSH
10 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Washington
WSH
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
162
Games Played
162
5.07
▲
Runs / Game
4.94
.246
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.321
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.423
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.744
OPS
▲
.762
210
▲
Home Runs
204
Key Model Drivers
OPS (Season)
+1.8%
Los Angeles: 76.2%
vs
Washington: 74.4%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+1.7%
Los Angeles: 33.8%
vs
Washington: 32.1%
Batting Avg (Season)
+1.1%
Los Angeles: 25.7%
vs
Washington: 24.6%
Home Runs (L5)
+42.5% more
Washington: 1.8
vs
Los Angeles: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
4.1
7
LAD Score
4.4
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.3 / 8.3
7.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 1.8
3.0 / 5.0
Strikeouts
7.7 / 8.4
9.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
13.9 / 15.0
17.0 / 28.0
Walks
2.5 / 3.3
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
WSH
LAD
WSH
ML
56%
92-73
57%
92-69
48%
79-87
54%
87-74
ATS
59%
98-67
58%
93-68
43%
72-94
57%
91-70
TTL
48%
77-82-6
50%
77-78-6
44%
70-90-6
42%
65-90-6
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