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MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

40-35  |  Road

17
FINAL
Fri, Jun 20 • 8:10 PM ET
Target Field
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

37-37  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Jacob Misiorowski
STARTING PITCHER

Jacob Misiorowski

#32 | Starting Pitcher
@
Joe Ryan
STARTING PITCHER

Joe Ryan

#41 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jacob Misiorowski None-None 1.64 -- 6.0 6
Joe Ryan None-None 3.06 -- 5.1 7
None-None W-L None-None
1.64 Ldr ERA 3.06
-- WHIP --
6.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 5.1
6 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 7
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
0%
📊
TWINS
100%
BREWERS --
TWINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Milwaukee)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 TwinsMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

57.2%

Twins Cover

42.8%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.4%

MIL By 3-4 runs

15.6%

MIN By 1-2 runs

17.0%

MIN By 3-4 runs

11.4%

AI Model Projected Score
5.05
MILWAUKEE
4.32
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
3
MILWAUKEE
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Brewers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Twins Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Brewers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.7
D
Sim Twins (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.4
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 9, 2026 MIN @ MIL 3 - 4
Aug 8, 2026 MIN @ MIL 3 - 4
Aug 7, 2026 MIN @ MIL 8 - 6
May 17, 2026 MIL @ MIN 4 - 5
May 16, 2026 MIL @ MIN 2 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Minnesota MIN
162
Games Played
162
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.403
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.743 ▲
OPS
.720
154
Home Runs
▲ 187
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +20.4% more
Milwaukee: 3.2 vs Minnesota: 2.5
Runs per Game (Season) +11.3% more
Milwaukee: 5.1 vs Minnesota: 4.6
On-Base Pct (Season) +2.4%
Milwaukee: 34.1% vs Minnesota: 31.7%
OPS (Season) +2.3%
Milwaukee: 74.3% vs Minnesota: 72.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 5.1 17
MIN Score 4.3 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.1 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 9.7 / 9.6 5.0 / 19.0
Home Runs 2.2 / 1.6 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.0 / 8.6 10.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 18.9 / 17.0 9.0 / 23.0
Walks 2.5 / 3.2 6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
21%MONEY79%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
MIL
MIN
MIL
ML
52% 84-78
62% 101-61
50% 80-81
52% 84-78
ATS
59% 95-67
58% 94-68
59% 95-66
48% 78-84
TTL
51% 78-75-9
40% 62-92-8
53% 80-72-9
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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