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HOUSTON

ASTROSHOU

43-32  |  Road

3
FINAL
Fri, Jun 20 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

36-38  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Bennett Sousa
STARTING PITCHER

Bennett Sousa

#62 | Relief Pitcher
@
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Bennett Sousa None-None 1.63 -- 1.0 1
Reid Detmers None-None 4.73 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
1.63 Ldr ERA 4.73
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ASTROS
0%
📊
ANGELS
100%
ASTROS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Houston)
AstrosHOU (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Astros Cover

62.6%

Angels Cover

37.4%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around HOU -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)

HOU By 1-2 runs

19.7%

HOU By 3-4 runs

17.0%

LAA By 1-2 runs

15.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

9.8%

AI Model Projected Score
5.28
HOUSTON
3.99
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
HOUSTON
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Astros Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Astros (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.3
D
Sim Angels (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.3
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 20, 2026 LAA @ HOU 18 - 3
Aug 19, 2026 LAA @ HOU 2 - 3
Aug 18, 2026 LAA @ HOU 3 - 1
Jul 29, 2026 HOU @ LAA 7 - 4
Jul 28, 2026 HOU @ LAA 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Houston HOU
vs
Los Angeles LAA
2
Games Played
▲ 162
3.00
Runs / Game
▲ 4.04
.169
Avg (AVG)
▲ .234
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .310
.354
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .369
.582
OPS
▲ .679
4
Home Runs
▲ 154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +72.3% more
Houston: 1.5 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
Hits (L5) +42.2% more
Houston: 11.6 vs Los Angeles: 6.7
Total Bases (L5) +35.4% more
Houston: 19.2 vs Los Angeles: 12.4
Home Runs (L5) +12.8% more
Houston: 2.0 vs Los Angeles: 1.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOU Score 5.3 3
LAA Score 4.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 1.5 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.7 / 11.6 6.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 1.7 / 2.0 2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 8.9 / 9.5 11.0 / 12.0
Total Bases 12.4 / 19.2 12.0 / 15.0
Walks 3.0 / 3.3 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU Advantage
81-83-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7% Total +/-: +0.7
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
HOU
LAA
HOU
ML
59% 96-66
50% 81-82
55% 89-73
47% 77-87
ATS
60% 97-65
56% 91-72
51% 82-80
55% 90-74
TTL
53% 83-74-5
45% 70-84-9
52% 82-75-5
45% 69-86-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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