CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
37-36 | Road
1
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
31-46 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tanner Bibee
#28 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jeffrey Springs
#59 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee | None-None | 3.96 | -- | 8.0 | 10 |
| Jeffrey Springs | None-None | 4.24 | -- | 7.1 | 6 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.96 Ldr
ERA
4.24
--
WHIP
--
8.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
7.1
10 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
6
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
60%
ATHLETICS
40%
GUARDIANS
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
58%
Under 0
42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-2 runs
18.5%
CLE By 3-4 runs
13.7%
ATH By 1-2 runs
18.3%
ATH By 3-4 runs
13.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
2.89
CLEVELAND
Athletics
2.84
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Cleveland
4
CLEVELAND
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Guardians
Loss
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
Guardians
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Guardians (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.1
B
Sim
Guardians (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
ATH @ CLE
0 - 1
Sep 19, 2026
ATH @ CLE
6 - 12
Sep 18, 2026
ATH @ CLE
3 - 5
May 3, 2026
CLE @ ATH
1 - 7
May 2, 2026
CLE @ ATH
14 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.696
OPS
▲
.719
162
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+148.0% more
Athletics: 2.1
vs
Cleveland: 0.6
Total Bases (L5)
+53.5% more
Athletics: 16.0
vs
Cleveland: 10.5
Errors (L5)
+39.0% more
Athletics: 0.8
vs
Cleveland: 0.4
Hits (L5)
+25.0% more
Athletics: 8.3
vs
Cleveland: 6.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
2.9
1
ATH Score
2.8
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.4
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
8.3 / 6.6
11.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
2.1 / 0.6
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.2 / 7.3
8.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
16.0 / 10.5
14.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.8 / 4.0
2.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
Advantage
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
CLE
ATH
CLE
ML
59%
95-67
54%
87-74
54%
87-74
49%
80-82
ATS
52%
84-78
58%
93-68
50%
81-80
59%
95-67
TTL
54%
84-73-5
55%
88-71-2
42%
66-90-5
43%
69-90-2
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