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WASHINGTON

NATIONALSWSH

31-44  |  Road

5
FINAL
Fri, Jun 20 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

46-30  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Jacob Young
STARTING PITCHER

Jacob Young

#30 | Center Field
@
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jacob Young None-None -- -- -- --
Tanner Scott None-None 3.79 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.79
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
NATIONALS
100%
📊
DODGERS
0%
NATIONALS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Los Angeles)
NationalsWSH (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nationals Cover

37.9%

Dodgers Cover

62.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

WSH By 1-2 runs

15.7%

WSH By 3-4 runs

10.0%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.7%

LAD By 3-4 runs

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
3.66
WASHINGTON
4.89
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
WASHINGTON
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.6
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2026 WSH @ LAD 5 - 7
Sep 5, 2026 WSH @ LAD 5 - 6
Sep 4, 2026 WSH @ LAD 3 - 5
Apr 5, 2026 LAD @ WSH 8 - 6
Apr 4, 2026 LAD @ WSH 10 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Washington WSH
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
5.07 ▲
Runs / Game
4.94
.246
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.321
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.423
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.744
OPS
▲ .762
210 ▲
Home Runs
204
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +16.9% more
Los Angeles: 2.3 vs Washington: 2.0
OPS (Season) +1.8%
Los Angeles: 76.2% vs Washington: 74.4%
On-Base Pct (Season) +1.7%
Los Angeles: 33.8% vs Washington: 32.1%
Batting Avg (Season) +1.1%
Los Angeles: 25.7% vs Washington: 24.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 3.7 5
LAD Score 4.9 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.4 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 7.9 / 8.0 9.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 1.1 / 1.2 1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 7.6 / 10.1 8.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 12.8 / 13.0 16.0 / 19.0
Walks 2.3 / 2.0 3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +1.3
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
WSH
LAD
WSH
ML
56% 92-73
57% 92-69
48% 79-87
54% 87-74
ATS
59% 98-67
58% 93-68
43% 72-94
57% 91-70
TTL
48% 77-82-6
50% 77-78-6
44% 70-90-6
42% 65-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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