COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
17-57 | Road
3
WASHINGTON
NATIONALSWSH
30-44 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jimmy Herget
#44 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Young
#30 | Center Field| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Herget | None-None | 2.97 | -- | 1.2 | 1 |
| Jacob Young | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.97
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
1
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
30%
NATIONALS
70%
ROCKIES
--
NATIONALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around COL -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1-2 runs
19.1%
COL By 3-4 runs
14.9%
WSH By 1-2 runs
17.5%
WSH By 3-4 runs
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
4.11
COLORADO
Washington
3.63
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Washington
6
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rockies
Loss
30% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nationals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rockies (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.5
B
Sim
Nationals (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 27, 2026
COL @ WSH
1 - 7
Aug 26, 2026
COL @ WSH
13 - 1
Aug 25, 2026
COL @ WSH
3 - 1
Aug 24, 2026
COL @ WSH
3 - 13
Jul 22, 2026
WSH @ COL
8 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Washington
WSH
162
Games Played
162
4.64
Runs / Game
▲
5.07
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.246
.322
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.321
.417
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.423
.739
OPS
▲
.744
180
Home Runs
▲
210
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+71.4% more
Colorado: 2.9
vs
Washington: 0.8
Errors (L5)
+50.0% more
Colorado: 0.6
vs
Washington: 0.1
Walks (L5)
+47.1% more
Colorado: 3.7
vs
Washington: 1.9
Total Bases (L5)
+40.8% more
Colorado: 20.3
vs
Washington: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
4.1
3
WSH Score
3.6
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.6
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.9 / 8.8
8.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 2.9
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.7 / 5.2
13.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
12.0 / 20.3
15.0 / 13.0
Walks
1.9 / 3.7
2.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
WSH
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
WSH
Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
COL
WSH
COL
ML
57%
92-69
60%
97-64
54%
87-74
55%
88-73
ATS
58%
93-68
60%
97-64
57%
91-70
52%
83-78
TTL
50%
77-78-6
60%
93-62-6
42%
65-90-6
50%
77-78-6
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