Home / MLB Projections MLB / Guardians @ Giants CLE @ SF

CLEVELAND

GUARDIANSCLE

37-35  |  Road

1
FINAL
Thu, Jun 19 • 4:05 PM ET
Oracle Park
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

41-33  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Matt Festa
STARTING PITCHER

Matt Festa

#52 | Relief Pitcher
@
Camilo Doval
STARTING PITCHER

Camilo Doval

#57 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Matt Festa None-None 4.19 -- 0.1 --
Camilo Doval None-None 1.59 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
4.19 ERA Ldr 1.59
-- WHIP --
0.1 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
46%
📊
GIANTS
54%
GUARDIANS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 44%
Under 0 56%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (San Francisco)
GuardiansCLE (-3.5) 0 GiantsSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Guardians Cover

48.5%

Giants Cover

51.5%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SF -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

CLE By 1-2 runs

18.2%

CLE By 3-4 runs

13.1%

SF By 1-2 runs

18.7%

SF By 3-4 runs

14.0%

AI Model Projected Score
3.35
CLEVELAND
3.5
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
4
CLEVELAND
3
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Win
54% Win Prob
D
Sim Guardians Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.1
B
Sim Guardians (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.9
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 20, 2026 SF @ CLE 2 - 5
Aug 19, 2026 SF @ CLE 1 - 0
Aug 18, 2026 SF @ CLE 1 - 8
Jun 19, 2025 CLE @ SF 1 - 2
Jun 18, 2025 CLE @ SF 4 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland CLE
vs
San Francisco SF
162
Games Played
162
4.19 ▲
Runs / Game
4.13
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.316 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .400
.696
OPS
▲ .706
162
Home Runs
▲ 178
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +55.0% more
San Francisco: 0.7 vs Cleveland: 0.1
Hits (L5) +20.9% more
San Francisco: 7.8 vs Cleveland: 6.4
Home Runs (Season) +9.9% more
San Francisco: 178.0 vs Cleveland: 162.0
Slugging Pct (Season) +2.0%
San Francisco: 40.0% vs Cleveland: 38.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 3.4 1
SF Score 3.5 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.1 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 7.8 / 6.4 5.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 0.9 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.5 / 7.5 12.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 12.1 / 11.2 6.0 / 9.0
Walks 3.6 / 4.0 0.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
87-79-0 (52.4%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.6%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
81-84-1
O: 49.1% / U: 50.9% Total +/-: +0.5
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
CLE
SF
CLE
ML
49% 79-81
54% 87-75
53% 85-75
49% 80-83
ATS
62% 100-60
57% 93-69
52% 83-77
58% 95-68
TTL
55% 82-68-10
56% 89-71-2
46% 68-81-11
44% 70-90-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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