KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
35-38 | Road
6
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
36-37 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Steven Cruz
#64 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Evan Carter
#32 | Center Field| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Cruz | None-None | 1.93 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Evan Carter | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.93
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
1
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
RANGERS
0%
ROYALS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.2
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX -2.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
KC By 1-2 runs
13.1%
KC By 3-4 runs
7.4%
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.5%
TEX By 3-4 runs
18.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas City
2.99
KANSAS CITY
Texas
5.16
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Kansas City
3
KANSAS CITY
Texas
5
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.2
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 11, 2026
TEX @ KC
4 - 2
Jun 10, 2026
TEX @ KC
6 - 4
Jun 9, 2026
TEX @ KC
3 - 5
May 31, 2026
KC @ TEX
3 - 6
May 30, 2026
KC @ TEX
6 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Kansas City
KC
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.26
▲
Runs / Game
4.15
.247
▲
Avg (AVG)
.242
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.718
▲
OPS
.713
170
Home Runs
▲
183
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+13.8% more
Texas: 8.3
vs
Kansas City: 7.3
Home Runs (Season)
+7.6% more
Texas: 183.0
vs
Kansas City: 170.0
Errors (L5)
+45.0% more
Kansas City: 0.5
vs
Texas: 0.0
Home Runs (L5)
+43.1% more
Kansas City: 1.2
vs
Texas: 0.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KC Score
3.0
6
TEX Score
5.2
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.5
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.3 / 7.3
12.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.2
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.6 / 9.8
6.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
13.1 / 12.7
19.0 / 13.0
Walks
2.1 / 2.5
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
KC
TEX
KC
ML
53%
86-76
55%
89-72
57%
91-70
56%
90-70
ATS
57%
92-70
57%
91-70
61%
98-63
58%
93-67
TTL
53%
78-70-14
58%
90-64-7
55%
81-66-14
54%
83-70-7
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