HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
42-31 | Road
11
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
30-45 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cam Smith
#11 | Right Field@
STARTING PITCHER
Hogan Harris
#36 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Smith | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Hogan Harris | None-None | 3.81 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
3.81
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
ASTROS
0%
ATHLETICS
100%
ASTROS
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.6
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.6 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around HOU -2.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
HOU By 1-2 runs
19.1%
HOU By 3-4 runs
19.2%
ATH By 1-2 runs
11.9%
ATH By 3-4 runs
6.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
6.05
HOUSTON
Athletics
3.49
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Houston
5
HOUSTON
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Astros
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Astros
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Astros (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.6
D
Sim
Astros (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
HOU @ ATH
9 - 0
Sep 26, 2026
HOU @ ATH
13 - 2
Sep 25, 2026
HOU @ ATH
5 - 6
Sep 24, 2026
HOU @ ATH
7 - 5
Aug 23, 2026
ATH @ HOU
7 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Houston
HOU
vs
Athletics
ATH
2
Games Played
▲
162
3.00
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.169
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.354
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.582
OPS
▲
.719
4
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+43.1% more
Houston: 2.2
vs
Athletics: 1.2
Total Bases (L5)
+38.3% more
Houston: 18.8
vs
Athletics: 11.6
Hits (L5)
+36.8% more
Houston: 10.0
vs
Athletics: 6.3
Strikeouts (L5)
+28.1% more
Houston: 9.6
vs
Athletics: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
6.1
11
ATH Score
3.5
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.8
1.0 / 2.0
Hits
6.3 / 10.0
8.0 / 20.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 2.2
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
6.9 / 9.6
8.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
11.6 / 18.8
13.0 / 31.0
Walks
3.3 / 2.1
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
Advantage
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
HOU
ATH
HOU
ML
59%
95-67
50%
81-82
54%
87-74
47%
77-87
ATS
52%
84-78
56%
91-72
50%
81-80
55%
90-74
TTL
54%
84-73-5
45%
70-84-9
42%
66-90-5
45%
69-86-9
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
Cloud Production Secrets: NBC Sports, MLB, NHL, and Warner Bros.…