Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Will Warren
#29 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | None-None | 4.88 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Will Warren | None-None | 4.83 | -- | 6.0 | 11 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.88
ERA
Ldr 4.83
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 6.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 11
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
39%
YANKEES
61%
ANGELS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
LAA By 1-2 runs
18.5%
LAA By 3-4 runs
13.7%
NYY By 1-2 runs
18.3%
NYY By 3-4 runs
13.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3.58
LOS ANGELES
New York
3.52
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Angels
Win
39% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yankees
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Angels (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.1
B
Sim
Yankees (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
NYY @ LAA
6 - 3
Sep 1, 2026
NYY @ LAA
7 - 3
Aug 31, 2026
NYY @ LAA
1 - 10
Apr 16, 2026
LAA @ NYY
11 - 4
Apr 15, 2026
LAA @ NYY
4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.679
OPS
▲
1.041
154
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+98.7% more
Los Angeles: 154.0
vs
New York: 2.0
Home Runs (L5)
+57.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.9
vs
New York: 0.3
Strikeouts (L5)
+18.8% more
Los Angeles: 9.6
vs
New York: 7.8
Total Bases (L5)
+16.5% more
Los Angeles: 11.2
vs
New York: 9.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
3.6
4
NYY Score
3.5
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.8 / 7.0
4.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.3 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.8 / 9.6
13.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
9.3 / 11.2
5.0 / 9.0
Walks
2.9 / 2.8
1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
LAA
NYY
LAA
ML
47%
76-85
59%
96-66
52%
85-77
55%
89-73
ATS
59%
95-66
60%
97-65
53%
86-76
51%
82-80
TTL
53%
81-73-7
53%
83-74-5
53%
82-72-7
52%
82-75-5