LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

34-37  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Jun 17 • 7:05 PM ET
Yankee Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

42-29  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
@
Will Warren
STARTING PITCHER

Will Warren

#29 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Reid Detmers None-None 4.88 -- 1.0 2
Will Warren None-None 4.83 -- 6.0 11
None-None W-L None-None
4.88 ERA Ldr 4.83
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 6.0
2 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 11
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
39%
📊
YANKEES
61%
ANGELS --
YANKEES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Los Angeles)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 YankeesNYY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

50.6%

Yankees Cover

49.4%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

LAA By 1-2 runs

18.5%

LAA By 3-4 runs

13.7%

NYY By 1-2 runs

18.3%

NYY By 3-4 runs

13.4%

AI Model Projected Score
3.58
LOS ANGELES
3.52
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Angels Win
39% Win Prob
D
Sim Yankees Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Angels (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.1
B
Sim Yankees (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 2, 2026 NYY @ LAA 6 - 3
Sep 1, 2026 NYY @ LAA 7 - 3
Aug 31, 2026 NYY @ LAA 1 - 10
Apr 16, 2026 LAA @ NYY 11 - 4
Apr 15, 2026 LAA @ NYY 4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
New York NYY
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 9.00
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .375
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .447
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .594
.679
OPS
▲ 1.041
154 ▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +98.7% more
Los Angeles: 154.0 vs New York: 2.0
Home Runs (L5) +57.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.9 vs New York: 0.3
Strikeouts (L5) +18.8% more
Los Angeles: 9.6 vs New York: 7.8
Total Bases (L5) +16.5% more
Los Angeles: 11.2 vs New York: 9.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 3.6 4
NYY Score 3.5 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.6 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.8 / 7.0 4.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 0.3 / 0.9 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.8 / 9.6 13.0 / 12.0
Total Bases 9.3 / 11.2 5.0 / 9.0
Walks 2.9 / 2.8 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
4%MONEY96%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
NYY Advantage
95-71-0 (57.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
NYY Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +0.2