Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Yankees LAA @ NYY

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

33-37  |  Road

1
FINAL
Mon, Jun 16 • 7:05 PM ET
Yankee Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

42-28  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
@
Fernando Cruz
STARTING PITCHER

Fernando Cruz

#63 | RP
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Reid Detmers None-None 5.04 -- 1.0 1
Fernando Cruz None-None 3.18 -- 0.1 1
None-None W-L None-None
5.04 ERA Ldr 3.18
-- WHIP --
1.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 0.1
1 K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
0%
📊
YANKEES
100%
ANGELS --
YANKEES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Los Angeles)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 YankeesNYY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

59.0%

Yankees Cover

41.0%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.5%

LAA By 3-4 runs

16.1%

NYY By 1-2 runs

16.5%

NYY By 3-4 runs

10.9%

AI Model Projected Score
4.36
LOS ANGELES
3.45
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Angels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Yankees Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Angels (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.9
D
Sim Yankees (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.8
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 2, 2026 NYY @ LAA 6 - 3
Sep 1, 2026 NYY @ LAA 7 - 3
Aug 31, 2026 NYY @ LAA 1 - 10
Apr 16, 2026 LAA @ NYY 11 - 4
Apr 15, 2026 LAA @ NYY 4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
New York NYY
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 9.00
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .375
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .447
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .594
.679
OPS
▲ 1.041
154 ▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +98.7% more
Los Angeles: 154.0 vs New York: 2.0
Home Runs (L5) +64.2% more
Los Angeles: 1.3 vs New York: 0.5
Errors (L5) +26.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.0 vs New York: 0.7
Total Bases (L5) +23.5% more
Los Angeles: 11.7 vs New York: 9.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 4.4 1
NYY Score 3.5 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 1.0 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.1 / 6.9 8.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 0.5 / 1.3 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.3 / 9.5 7.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 9.0 / 11.7 10.0 / 10.0
Walks 3.4 / 2.7 2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
6%MONEY94%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
NYY Advantage
95-71-0 (57.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
NYY Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
LAA
NYY
LAA
ML
47% 76-85
59% 96-66
52% 85-77
55% 89-73
ATS
59% 95-66
60% 97-65
53% 86-76
51% 82-80
TTL
53% 81-73-7
53% 83-74-5
53% 82-72-7
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
si 1 minute ago
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 11 minutes ago
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
yahoo 5 hours, 50 minutes ago
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
yahoo 5 hours, 59 minutes ago