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COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

13-57  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sun, Jun 15 • 1:35 PM ET
Truist Park
View Odds Details →

ATLANTA

BRAVESATL

31-38  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Juan Mejia
STARTING PITCHER

Juan Mejia

#47 | Relief Pitcher
@
Grant Holmes
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Holmes

#66 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Juan Mejia None-None 3.54 -- 1.0 1
Grant Holmes None-None 3.97 -- 6.1 15
None-None W-L None-None
3.54 Ldr ERA 3.97
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 6.1
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 15
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
100%
📊
BRAVES
0%
ROCKIES --
BRAVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.2
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (Atlanta)
RockiesCOL (-3.5) 0 BravesATL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rockies Cover

29.0%

Braves Cover

71.0%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATL -2.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)

COL By 1-2 runs

13.0%

COL By 3-4 runs

7.3%

ATL By 1-2 runs

19.4%

ATL By 3-4 runs

18.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2.44
COLORADO
4.65
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
3
COLORADO
6
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Braves Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Braves Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Braves (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.2
D
Sim Braves (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2026 COL @ ATL 2 - 3
Aug 29, 2026 COL @ ATL 1 - 2
Aug 28, 2026 COL @ ATL 4 - 6
May 3, 2026 ATL @ COL 11 - 6
May 2, 2026 ATL @ COL 9 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado COL
vs
Atlanta ATL
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.64
Runs / Game
▲ 5.00
.254 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .324
.417
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .433
.739
OPS
▲ .757
180 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +70.0% more
Atlanta: 1.4 vs Colorado: 0.7
Strikeouts (L5) +61.0% more
Atlanta: 12.8 vs Colorado: 7.9
Total Bases (L5) +10.0% more
Atlanta: 14.7 vs Colorado: 13.4
Runs per Game (Season) +7.8% more
Atlanta: 5.0 vs Colorado: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 2.4 10
ATL Score 4.7 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 2.0 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.6 / 8.9 6.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 0.7 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 12.8 / 7.9 16.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 14.7 / 13.4 6.0 / 16.0
Walks 2.2 / 4.2 5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
5%MONEY95%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
18%MONEY82%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
ATL Advantage
97-72-0 (57.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
ATL Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
COL
ATL
COL
ML
46% 77-90
60% 97-64
54% 90-78
55% 88-73
ATS
57% 96-71
60% 97-64
52% 87-81
52% 83-78
TTL
53% 83-73-11
60% 93-62-6
49% 76-80-11
50% 77-78-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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