FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
0-0-0 | Road
5
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
0-0-0 | Home
2
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
50%
OILERS
50%
PANTHERS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
FLA By 1 goal
19.1%
FLA By 2-3 goals
24.1%
EDM By 1 goal
15.0%
EDM By 2-3 goals
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
4.88
FLORIDA
Edmonton
4.39
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Panthers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
B
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.3
B
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
FLA @ EDM
4 - 0
Nov 22, 2025
EDM @ FLA
6 - 3
Jun 17, 2025
EDM @ FLA
1 - 5
Jun 14, 2025
FLA @ EDM
5 - 2
Jun 12, 2025
EDM @ FLA
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+48.4% more
Florida: 5.7
vs
Edmonton: 2.9
Hits (L5)
+10.8% more
Florida: 39.9
vs
Edmonton: 35.6
Power Play % (L5)
+10.7%
Florida: 36.1%
vs
Edmonton: 25.4%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.6%
Florida: 50.2%
vs
Edmonton: 48.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
4.9
5
EDM Score
4.4
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
22.4 / 14.6
16.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
48.6 / 50.2
46.3 / 53.7
Hits
35.6 / 39.9
25.0 / 31.0
Power Play %
2538.0 / 3609.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
35.7 / 34.4
21.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
2.9 / 5.7
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
FLA
EDM
FLA
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
ATS
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
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