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CINCINNATI

REDSCIN

35-35  |  Road

11
FINAL
Sat, Jun 14 • 1:10 PM ET
Comerica Park
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

TIGERSDET

46-25  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Brady Singer
STARTING PITCHER

Brady Singer

#51 | Starting Pitcher
@
Brenan Hanifee
STARTING PITCHER

Brenan Hanifee

#75 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Brady Singer None-None 4.34 -- 6.0 4
Brenan Hanifee None-None 3.21 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
4.34 ERA Ldr 3.21
-- WHIP --
6.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
4 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
REDS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
REDS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.8
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.8 points (Detroit)
RedsCIN (-3.5) 0 TigersDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Reds Cover

24.0%

Tigers Cover

76.0%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -2.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

CIN By 1-2 runs

11.1%

CIN By 3-4 runs

5.8%

DET By 1-2 runs

18.7%

DET By 3-4 runs

19.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2.85
CINCINNATI
5.68
DETROIT
Simulated Score
4
CINCINNATI
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.8
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.5
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 26, 2026 DET @ CIN 8 - 3
Apr 25, 2026 DET @ CIN 2 - 9
Apr 24, 2026 DET @ CIN 8 - 9
Jun 15, 2025 CIN @ DET 8 - 4
Jun 14, 2025 CIN @ DET 11 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Cincinnati CIN
vs
Detroit DET
162
Games Played
162
4.11
Runs / Game
▲ 4.46
.229
Avg (AVG)
▲ .241
.305
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .320
.394
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .400
.699
OPS
▲ .720
213 ▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +26.1% more
Detroit: 9.4 vs Cincinnati: 7.4
Total Bases (L5) +19.7% more
Detroit: 18.9 vs Cincinnati: 15.8
Home Runs (L5) +17.1% more
Detroit: 2.0 vs Cincinnati: 1.7
Hits (L5) +15.9% more
Detroit: 10.5 vs Cincinnati: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIN Score 2.9 11
DET Score 5.7 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.6 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 10.5 / 9.1 4.0 / 12.0
Home Runs 2.0 / 1.7 0.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts 9.4 / 7.4 7.0 / 4.0
Total Bases 18.9 / 15.8 6.0 / 26.0
Walks 2.8 / 3.5 6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
36%MONEY64%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
75-87-0 (46.3%)
Margin: -1.0 ATS +/-:
DET Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0 ATS +/-:
DET Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8% Total +/-: +0.5
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CIN
DET
CIN
ML
54% 86-73
55% 88-71
54% 87-73
49% 79-81
ATS
64% 101-58
54% 86-73
57% 91-69
50% 80-80
TTL
46% 69-81-9
53% 81-73-5
46% 69-81-10
54% 83-72-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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