COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
13-56 | Road
1
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
30-38 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Freeman
#2 | RF@
STARTING PITCHER
Dylan Lee
#52 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Freeman | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dylan Lee | None-None | 2.03 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
2.03
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
100%
BRAVES
0%
ROCKIES
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATL -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
COL By 1-2 runs
14.7%
COL By 3-4 runs
8.8%
ATL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
ATL By 3-4 runs
17.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
2.87
COLORADO
Atlanta
4.49
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Atlanta
6
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.6
D
Sim
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 30, 2026
COL @ ATL
2 - 3
Aug 29, 2026
COL @ ATL
1 - 2
Aug 28, 2026
COL @ ATL
4 - 6
May 3, 2026
ATL @ COL
11 - 6
May 2, 2026
ATL @ COL
9 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.64
Runs / Game
▲
5.00
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.324
.417
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.739
OPS
▲
.757
180
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+52.4% more
Atlanta: 1.6
vs
Colorado: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+8.5% more
Atlanta: 9.7
vs
Colorado: 8.9
Runs per Game (Season)
+7.8% more
Atlanta: 5.0
vs
Colorado: 4.6
OPS (Season)
+1.8%
Atlanta: 75.7%
vs
Colorado: 73.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.9
1
ATL Score
4.5
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 1.5
1.0 / 3.0
Hits
10.9 / 11.4
7.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 1.0
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.7 / 8.9
19.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
17.1 / 17.5
10.0 / 5.0
Walks
2.8 / 4.8
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
COL
ATL
COL
ML
46%
77-90
60%
97-64
54%
90-78
55%
88-73
ATS
57%
96-71
60%
97-64
52%
87-81
52%
83-78
TTL
53%
83-73-11
60%
93-62-6
49%
76-80-11
50%
77-78-6
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