CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
35-32 | Road
2
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
33-34 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Hunter Gaddis
#33 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Eduard Bazardo
#83 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Gaddis | None-None | 2.00 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Eduard Bazardo | None-None | 3.51 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.00 Ldr
ERA
3.51
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
0%
MARINERS
100%
GUARDIANS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.9
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.9 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE -2.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-2 runs
18.6%
CLE By 3-4 runs
19.5%
SEA By 1-2 runs
11.0%
SEA By 3-4 runs
5.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
5.14
CLEVELAND
Seattle
2.26
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guardians
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Guardians (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.9
D
Sim
Mariners (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 28, 2026
SEA @ CLE
5 - 6
Jun 27, 2026
SEA @ CLE
3 - 4
Jun 26, 2026
SEA @ CLE
3 - 1
Mar 29, 2026
CLE @ SEA
0 - 8
Mar 28, 2026
CLE @ SEA
6 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.19
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.239
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.316
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.380
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.696
▲
OPS
.693
162
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+72.0% more
Cleveland: 0.9
vs
Seattle: 0.1
Runs per Game (Season)
+2.1% more
Cleveland: 4.2
vs
Seattle: 4.1
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.6%
Cleveland: 23.9%
vs
Seattle: 23.3%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+0.2%
Cleveland: 31.6%
vs
Seattle: 31.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
5.1
2
SEA Score
2.3
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.9
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.1 / 8.3
16.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.1
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.4 / 8.2
8.0 / 3.0
Total Bases
15.6 / 13.3
28.0 / 10.0
Walks
3.4 / 2.5
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
87-79-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
81-84-1
O: 49.1% / U: 50.9%
Total +/-: +0.5
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
CLE
SEA
CLE
ML
50%
81-81
54%
87-75
52%
85-77
49%
80-83
ATS
60%
98-64
57%
93-69
59%
95-67
58%
95-68
TTL
56%
85-67-10
56%
89-71-2
53%
81-71-10
44%
70-90-2
Contextual Game News
Guardians Storm Back in Game 4, Force Game 5 Against White Sox
Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…