Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Dodgers SF @ LAD

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

40-29  |  Road

6
FINAL
Fri, Jun 13 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

41-28  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Logan Webb
STARTING PITCHER

Logan Webb

#62 | Starting Pitcher
@
Justin Wrobleski
STARTING PITCHER

Justin Wrobleski

#70 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Logan Webb None-None 2.58 -- 7.0 4
Justin Wrobleski None-None 6.05 -- 4.1 5
None-None W-L None-None
2.58 Ldr ERA 6.05
-- WHIP --
7.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 4.1
4 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
0%
📊
DODGERS
100%
GIANTS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (San Francisco)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

53.6%

Dodgers Cover

46.4%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-2 runs

19.0%

SF By 3-4 runs

14.6%

LAD By 1-2 runs

17.8%

LAD By 3-4 runs

12.5%

AI Model Projected Score
4.53
SAN FRANCISCO
4.17
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
SAN FRANCISCO
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.4
D
Sim Dodgers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.7
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 LAD @ SF 5 - 1
Sep 26, 2026 LAD @ SF 4 - 3
Sep 25, 2026 LAD @ SF 2 - 0
Sep 20, 2026 SF @ LAD 1 - 3
Sep 19, 2026 SF @ LAD 4 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.706
OPS
▲ .762
178
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +14.8% more
San Francisco: 8.2 vs Los Angeles: 7.0
Runs per Game (Season) +19.6% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs San Francisco: 4.1
Home Runs (Season) +14.6% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs San Francisco: 178.0
OPS (Season) +5.6%
Los Angeles: 76.2% vs San Francisco: 70.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 4.5 6
LAD Score 4.2 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 0.8 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.9 / 9.4 2.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 1.0 1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 7.0 / 8.2 9.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 14.1 / 14.7 5.0 / 22.0
Walks 4.6 / 4.6 5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
SF
LAD
SF
ML
56% 92-73
49% 79-81
48% 79-87
53% 85-75
ATS
59% 98-67
62% 100-60
43% 72-94
52% 83-77
TTL
48% 77-82-6
55% 82-68-10
44% 70-90-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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