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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

0-0-0  |  Road

5
FINAL
Thu, Jun 12 • 8:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

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4
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
OILERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Florida)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

31.0%

Panthers Cover

69.0%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

EDM By 1 goal

12.2%

EDM By 2-3 goals

9.4%

FLA By 1 goal

19.7%

FLA By 2-3 goals

29.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.43
EDMONTON
4.42
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
2
EDMONTON
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 FLA @ EDM 4 - 0
Nov 22, 2025 EDM @ FLA 6 - 3
Jun 17, 2025 EDM @ FLA 1 - 5
Jun 14, 2025 FLA @ EDM 5 - 2
Jun 12, 2025 EDM @ FLA 5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +36.8% more
Florida: 6.0 vs Edmonton: 4.4
Power Play % (L5) +3.6%
Florida: 29.1% vs Edmonton: 25.6%
Faceoff % (L5) +2.4%
Florida: 50.3% vs Edmonton: 47.8%
Blocked Shots (L5) +21.5% more
Edmonton: 19.7 vs Florida: 15.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 3.4 5
FLA Score 4.4 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.4 / 19.7 13.0 / 28.0
Faceoff % 50.3 / 47.8 50.0 / 50.0
Hits 42.9 / 40.9 34.0 / 25.0
Power Play % 29.1 / 25.6 50.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal 31.6 / 36.0 40.0 / 35.0
Takeaways 6.0 / 4.4 5.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
46%MONEY54%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
EDM
FLA
EDM
ML
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Barkov Eyes Late November Return; Marchand Could Be Back Soon fo…
wsvn 2 hours, 30 minutes ago
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
yardbarker 2 hours, 33 minutes ago
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day, 2 hours ago
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
yardbarker 1 day, 8 hours ago
Brad Marchand Forced Off Ice with Apparent Leg Injury in Panther…
theathleticuk 1 day, 20 hours ago